Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.257490 3.812778 4.403365 5.075135 5.814933 6.601778 7.498876
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.311700 3.044133 3.883801 4.904150 6.097108 7.434910 9.035489
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.667122 2.470675 3.461196 4.739586 6.313605 8.157637 10.449928
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.255699 2.089332 3.189868 4.688852 6.617852 8.960434 11.962457
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.946933 1.773955 2.942304 4.616130 6.857521 9.665981 13.359101
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.798113 1.653247 2.930270 4.833582 7.460043 10.827605 15.338970
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.634934 1.472565 2.801297 4.865056 7.800814 11.651517 16.903976
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.555773 1.413633 2.841045 5.128804 8.457336 12.895924 19.028868
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.479704 1.342398 2.848409 5.336918 9.035789 14.044891 21.048984
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.397259 1.238595 2.786664 5.428717 9.443752 14.967137 22.783428
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.309439 1.099141 2.643785 5.377056 9.632305 15.585670 24.118068
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.257539 1.024751 2.604229 5.481951 10.048310 16.521125 25.888867
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.208854 0.945319 2.548707 5.561443 10.437179 17.441374 27.678359
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.151487 0.819520 2.385155 5.444015 10.516399 17.922292 28.875211
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.105176 0.701009 2.215325 5.297611 10.537521 18.313610 29.949743
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.075917 0.620642 2.111711 5.257420 10.719738 18.937379 31.354533
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.052167 0.542351 1.997712 5.185626 10.842596 19.471044 32.636174
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.044966 0.533645 2.046927 5.424684 11.482795 20.785155 35.045207
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.032584 0.486828 1.994000 5.460442 11.782400 21.591309 36.737006
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.029057 0.488834 2.066465 5.746845 12.511586 23.058151 39.397188
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.024485 0.479826 2.108124 5.972365 13.141643 24.383009 41.867262
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.018224 0.450281 2.089005 6.071800 13.556304 25.383760 43.878214
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.011224 0.399071 1.998674 6.016052 13.697461 25.963358 45.280252